The ACEA organisation has just published its quarterly figures for truck registrations in the European Union:
- 72,941 units. Q1/2025 vs. 86,824 units. Q1/2024, representing a 16% drop in registrations
- Leaders of the declines: Netherlands (-76.5%), Estonia (-54.3%), Lithuania (-30%), Slovakia (-29.1%), Slovenia (-29.1%)
- Growth leaders: Spain (+12.6%), Belgium (+11.2%), Finland (+10.2%), Hungary (+3.3%), Luxembourg (+3.1%)
- The largest markets apart from Spain and Poland scored declines: Germany (-10.7%), France (-10.7%), Italy (-15.2%)
- Poland: 16,288 units. Q1/2025 vs. 16,127 units. Q1/2024, i.e. +1%
Statistics show a deterioration in the transport industry in the European Union. Except for a few markets, severe declines in new truck registrations dominate, giving an overall result that is 16% worse year-on-year after Q1. In doing so, it should be remembered that last year’s result was also weak.
The semi-trailer market is behaving a bit more steadily. Results up to and including March show improved registration performance in the large markets of Poland (+10.3% year-on-year), Italy (+6% y/y) and Spain (+0.3% y/y). In contrast, Germany, Europe’s largest market, is down as much as 26% y/y (data: Expertdata based on VDA and statistics of industry organizations). Here, also, last year’s results were low.
For the time being, it is difficult to predict growth in truck and semi-trailer sales at the end of 2025. A good economy in Spain or Poland will not stop the downward trend. It also remains to be seen how long the positive performance in Poland will last. The used car market is not showing a clear increase in demand, which is usually the first sign of change (more here).
